FG writes off NNPC debt: Tinubu cancels $1.42bn, N5.57tn liabilities in bold fiscal reform

In a decisive fiscal move aimed at closing years of unresolved financial disputes between the Federation and the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited, President Bola Tinubu has approved a sweeping NNPC debt cancellation covering a significant portion of obligations previously recorded against the national oil company.


The approval followed months of reconciliation and verification undertaken by the Stakeholder Alignment Committee on the Reconciliation of Indebtedness between NNPC Limited and the Federation.

The outcome of that process, now reflected in official records of the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC), resulted in the removal of legacy debts valued at about $1.42bn and N5.57tn from the Federation’s books.


According to a report presented at the November meeting of the Federation Account Allocation Committee, the written-off balances relate to long-standing liabilities arising from royalty receivables, crude lifting transactions, Production Sharing Contract operations, and related remittance disputes accumulated before December 31, 2024.


Legacy balances resolved under the NNPC debt cancellation directive


Before the reconciliation exercise and subsequent approval for NNPC debt cancellation, the outstanding dollar-denominated obligations were estimated at $1.48bn, while naira-based liabilities stood at over N6.33tn across various revenue streams.


Following the presidential directive, about 96 per cent of the dollar-component and 88 per cent of the naira-component were cleared from the Federation’s records, with the NUPRC confirming that the appropriate accounting adjustments had now been implemented.


The resolution marks one of the most far-reaching steps taken in recent years to address long-running disagreements over oil revenue remittances, audit reconciliations, and disputed entries relating to Nigeria’s upstream petroleum operations.


However, the decision to execute a large-scale NNPC debt cancellation applies strictly to legacy balances incurred up to the end of 2024. Current statutory obligations arising from ongoing operations remain active, and are still being tracked by the regulator.


Fresh remittance gaps persist despite NNPC debt cancellation


Despite the clean-up of historical balances, the NUPRC disclosed that fresh obligations accumulated between January and October 2025 remain outstanding.

These current liabilities amount to about $56.8m and N1.02tn across PSC liftings, MCA transactions, and joint venture royalty obligations.


Part of the dollar component was recovered during the month under review, with the regulator confirming receipt of $55m, leaving an outstanding balance of approximately $1.8m, in addition to the naira-denominated backlog.


This reinforces that the NNPC debt cancellation does not eliminate the requirement for full statutory remittances going forward.

The commission indicated that ongoing reconciliations and recoveries will continue under established fiscal oversight frameworks.


Revenue pressure continues as oil receipts fall below target


The development comes at a period when upstream revenue performance remains significantly below government projections.


Against a 2025 monthly revenue target of N1.204tn, the NUPRC recorded N660.04bn collections for November — representing a shortfall of over N544bn. Royalties, which traditionally account for most upstream inflows, also experienced a steep decline.


Cumulative data as of November 30, 2025 shows an approved revenue benchmark of N13.25tn, against actual receipts of N7.60tn, leaving a deficit exceeding N5.6tn. Royalty earnings alone recorded a gap of N5.63tn within the same period.


The November collection figure was also lower than the N873.10bn recorded in October, reflecting a continuing downward trend in upstream remittances even after the implementation of the NNPC debt cancellation.


Historical disputes and audit disagreements remain under review


The clean-up of the legacy balances under the NNPC debt cancellation directive arrives in the context of broader disputes over historical oil revenue remittances.

FG writes off NNPC debt


Earlier, disagreements emerged between NNPC Limited and Periscope Consulting — an audit firm engaged by the Nigeria Governors’ Forum — over allegations of under-remittance reportedly amounting to $42.37bn between 2011 and 2017.


While NNPC Limited rejected the audit findings, insisting that all revenues for the period were duly accounted for, the consultants maintained that significant financial gaps existed in the records.

The FAAC sub-committee subsequently mandated a joint reconciliation process, which remains ongoing.


Energy economists have repeatedly attributed such disputes to structural inefficiencies that pre-dated the Petroleum Industry Act, including overlapping operational and regulatory roles, weak remittance tracking, and delays in audit closures.


Transparency expectations rise as corporation pledges fiscal discipline


The NNPC debt cancellation is expected to reset the fiscal relationship between the company and the Federation Account, eliminating legacy burdens while placing stronger emphasis on real-time accountability for current operations.


Since assumption of office, Group Chief Executive Officer Bayo Ojulari has pledged to enhance transparency, corporate governance, and commercial efficiency within the restructured national oil company — commitments which stakeholders expect to translate into stronger remittance discipline.


With the removal of historic liabilities now concluded, regulators, sub-nationals, and fiscal oversight institutions are expected to intensify monitoring of future remittances to ensure timely settlement of statutory obligations.


For the Federal Government, the NNPC debt cancellation provides administrative closure to one of the longest-running financial reconciliation disputes in Nigeria’s oil sector, even as wider reforms continue across the upstream value chain.

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