The recent conflict between Israel and Iran has dramatically shifted the Israeli political landscape, with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu‘s government experiencing a surge in support from both the public and opposition parties. This unity, however, may be short-lived, as Netanyahu’s maximalist war aims and history of squandering support could ultimately lead to his downfall.
The conflict began on June 13, when Israel launched Operation Rising Lion, a series of airstrikes targeting Iran’s nuclear infrastructure, missile factories, and top military personnel. The operation has killed several high-ranking Iranian military officials, including Gen. Hossein Salami and Gen. Mohammad Bagheri. In response, Iran launched a barrage of missiles at Israel, striking several major cities and killing at least 24 Israelis.
The war has united Israeli politicians across party lines, with opposition leaders like Yair Lapid and Naftali Bennett expressing support for Netanyahu’s actions. Lapid, a self-styled centrist and former Prime Minister, has even urged the United States to participate in the war. This newfound unity is largely due to the perceived threat posed by Iran’s nuclear program and its alleged support for anti-Israeli militant groups.
Despite the current surge in support, Netanyahu’s future remains uncertain. His government has set ambitious war aims, including dismantling Iran’s nuclear program and potentially even regime change in Tehran. However, Netanyahu’s track record suggests that he may struggle to achieve these goals, and the war could ultimately harm his political standing.
Experts warn that if the war drags on and Israeli casualties mount, public opinion may turn against Netanyahu. Additionally, the international community, including the United States, may come under pressure to intervene and bring the conflict to an end. Dov Waxman, a professor of Israel studies at UCLA, notes that Netanyahu is making a “big gamble” and that the war’s outcome will have significant implications for his political future.
The conflict has also had significant global implications, with oil prices surging and stock markets experiencing volatility. The US has relocated aerial refueling tankers to Europe amid escalating regional tensions, and President Donald Trump has urged Iran to resume talks, warning that his patience is wearing thin. The conflict has also led to evacuations of citizens from various countries, including Ghana and China.
In conclusion, while Netanyahu’s war with Iran has temporarily united the Israeli nation, the prime minister’s uncertain future and the conflict’s far-reaching implications will continue to shape the region’s politics and global markets.